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Prediction for CME (2015-03-10T00:00:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2015-03-10T00:00ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/7956/-1 CME Note: eruption visible in AIA during flare from 2297. Note another CME follows this one, starting at 2015-03-10T03:36Z, also from the same active region. This entry is for both CMEs. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-03-11T20:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) Prediction Method: Other (SIDC) Prediction Method Note: :Issued: 2015 Mar 10 1218 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed in LASCO/C2 images at 03:36UT on 10-Mar-2015. This CME was related to a strong M5.1 flare produced by NOAA Active Region 2297 peaking at 03:24UT. The related CME had a plane of the sky speed of approximately 1150 km/s, and a width of 220 degrees. The bulk of the CME is directed to the NorthEast. The CME is estimated to arrive at Earth at 20:00UT (+/- 12 hours) on 11-Mar-2015, and may impact the geomagnetic field. #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # # # # Legal notices: # # - Intellectual Property Rights: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/data-policy-en.pdf # # - Liability Disclaimer: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/disclaimer-en.pdf # # - Use and processing of your personal information: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/privacy-policy-en.pdf # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#Lead Time: 31.70 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-03-10T12:18Z |
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